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Ligue 1 · MW6 Parc des Princes, ParisRef: Mathieu Vernice
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Le Mans result, stats and report

Paris Saint Germain
Won · xG 3.70
3 – 1
FT 07:45
Lost · xG 1.49
Le Mans
Next: Le Havre v Paris Saint Germain · Fri 30 Oct · Troyes v Le Mans · Sat 31 Oct
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Who won Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?

Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Le Mans, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land.

Match Review · published 10 Oct 2026, 22:20 BST

PSG 3-1 Le Mans: Kvaratskhelia Off the Bench to Break Le Mans Resistance

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Paris Saint-Germain made hard work of it but goals from Kvaratskhelia and Akliouche after the hour settled a contest that Le Mans briefly threatened to make uncomfortable. The visitors finished with five yellow cards and no credit in the bank.

Read the review
How it played out

Paris Saint Germain won it 3–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 07:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Le Mans

Paris Saint-Germain made hard work of it but goals from Kvaratskhelia and Akliouche after the hour settled a contest that Le Mans briefly threatened to make uncomfortable. The visitors finished with five yellow cards and no credit in the bank.

Key Takeaways
Result

Paris Saint Germain beat Le Mans 3-1 at home.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Paris Saint Germain 3.70 to Le Mans 1.49 on expected goals.

First Goal
L
54'⚽
Louis Mafouta
LAssist: Lucas Calodat
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris Saint Germain 3.70 xGLe Mans 1.49 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Paris Saint Germain to win

71%Matched

Result

Paris Saint Germain3:1Le Mans

Paris Saint Germain v LE

Our model called Paris Saint Germain to win at 71%. Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Le Mans. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Paris Saint-Germain beat Le Mans 3-1 at Parc des Princes in Ligue 1. Our model backed PSG at 71 percent and the pick landed. Beraldo converted a penalty in the 19th minute to set the tone early. Mafouta pulled one back for Le Mans in the 54th, but Kvaratskhelia restored PSG's two-goal cushion six minutes later to seal the result. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans · Ligue 1 ·

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Lucas Digne★ MOTM90 min7.8
  2. Maghnes Akliouche1 goal · 90 min7.6
  3. Khvicha KvaratskheliaParis Saint Germain1 goal · 31 min7.5
  4. Nicolas KocikLE 90 min7.5
  5. Lucas HernándezParis Saint Germain90 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Paris Saint Germain win the highest 1X2 probability at 70.6%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Paris Saint Germain
70.6%
Draw
18.7%
LE
10.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
45.2%
Over 2.5 goals
55.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Paris Saint Germain win was the highest probability; the match result was Paris Saint Germain win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP

SportSignals Tip settlement

Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
Ligue 1· published 03:55won
Both teams to score: Yes

Logged at 2.16 with PinnacleNot licensed in the UK

Pinnacle offered this at 01:05 on 10 Oct, but you can't bet there from the UK.

Publication provenance
  • Immutable Tips ledger · record 37640646-36af-49b0-8b53-bde1b0c374ec · model publication version not recorded

Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.

Match facts · what the record shows

9 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Le Mans, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 14 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Le Mans, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 5 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Paris Saint Germain, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 14 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Paris Saint Germain, the final recorded goal situation matched 21 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 43league matches at home unbeaten for Paris Saint Germain.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Paris Saint Germain scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Paris Saint Germain have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Ferran Torres has the highest listed average xGOT for Paris Saint Germain at 0.87 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Louis Mafouta has the highest listed average xGOT for Le Mans at 0.85 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?
    Paris Saint Germain beat LE 3-1 in the Ligue 1 at Parc des Princes.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Lucas Beraldo opened the scoring in the 19th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Lucas Beraldo (19'), Louis Mafouta (54'), Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (61'), Maghnes Akliouche (68').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Mathieu Vernice officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Paris Saint Germain vs LE kicked off on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time at Parc des Princes.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Paris Saint Germain play Le Havre on Friday, 30 October 2026 UK time. LE play Troyes on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.