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Bundesliga · MW5Ref: Felix Zwayer
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Paderborn 0-2 VfB Stuttgart result, stats and report

Paderborn
Lost · xG 1.70
0 – 2
FT 04:25
Won · xG 2.20
VfB Stuttgart
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Paderborn v Eintracht Frankfurt · Sat 7 Nov · VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

PaderbornVfB StuttgartBundesliga

The provider forecast gives VfB Stuttgart win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PAD
38.4%
Draw
22.7%
VfB Stuttgart
38.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
69.4%
Over 2.5 goals
70.2%

Full-time forecast audit: VfB Stuttgart win was the highest probability; the match result was VfB Stuttgart win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
23%
39%
38.4%PAD
22.7%Draw
38.9%VfB Stuttgart

Both Teams to Score

69%
Yes 69.4%No 30.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

70%
Yes 70.2%No 29.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
87%
Over 2.5
70%
Over 3.5
48%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
0-1
4.9%
1-0
4.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates VfB Stuttgart or draw at 49.5%; the most likely half-time state is PAD leading at half-time at 35.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.8%.

Double Chance

1X
47.4%
12
3.1%
X2
49.5%

Half-Time Result

PAD
35.1%
Draw
30.0%
VfB Stuttgart
34.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PAD
Draw
VfB Stuttgart
PAD
24.3%
5.3%
4.5%
Draw
10.2%
12.1%
10.5%
VfB Stuttgart
3.5%
6.1%
23.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.8%
No
89.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.