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Bundesliga · MW4Ref: Daniel Schlager
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Paderborn 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim result, stats and report

Paderborn
Won · xG 1.04
3 – 1
FT 07:15
Lost · xG 1.76
1899 Hoffenheim
Next: Paderborn v Hamburger SV · Sat 24 Oct · 1899 Hoffenheim v Lyon · Thu 22 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Paderborn1899 HoffenheimBundesliga

The provider forecast gives 1899 Hoffenheim win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PAD
38.5%
Draw
22.4%
1899 Hoffenheim
39.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
67.9%
Over 2.5 goals
68.8%

Full-time forecast audit: 1899 Hoffenheim win was the highest probability; the match result was Paderborn win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
22%
39%
38.5%PAD
22.4%Draw
39.1%1899 Hoffenheim

Both Teams to Score

68%
Yes 67.9%No 32.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

69%
Yes 68.8%No 31.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
87%
Over 2.5
69%
Over 3.5
47%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
0-1
5.1%
1-0
5.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PAD or draw at 48.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 35.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.7%.

Double Chance

1X
48.8%
12
3.3%
X2
47.9%

Half-Time Result

PAD
30.3%
Draw
35.4%
1899 Hoffenheim
34.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PAD
Draw
1899 Hoffenheim
PAD
22.8%
4.8%
3.6%
Draw
12.9%
13.4%
10.0%
1899 Hoffenheim
3.5%
5.6%
23.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.7%
No
90.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.