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League One · MW6 The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, OxfordshireRef: William Davis
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Oxford United 3-0 Burton Albion result, stats and report

Oxford United
Won · xG 1.35
3 – 0
FT 08:35
Lost · xG 0.49
Burton Albion
Next: Oxford United v Wigan Athletic · Tue 20 Oct · Burton Albion v Bradford City · Tue 20 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Oxford UnitedBurton AlbionLeague One

The provider forecast gives Oxford United win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Oxford United
43.4%
Draw
27.2%
BRA
29.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.4%
Over 2.5 goals
47.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Oxford United win was the highest probability; the match result was Oxford United win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
27%
29%
43.4%Oxford United
27.2%Draw
29.3%BRA

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 52.4%No 47.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

47%
Yes 47.3%No 52.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
26%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Oxford United or draw at 51.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.7%.

Double Chance

1X
51.0%
12
8.2%
X2
40.8%

Half-Time Result

Oxford United
33.3%
Draw
43.6%
BRA
23.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Oxford United
Draw
BRA
Oxford United
25.3%
5.6%
2.1%
Draw
15.0%
18.8%
9.8%
BRA
2.9%
5.2%
15.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.7%
No
94.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.