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League One · MW6 The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, OxfordshireRef: William Davis
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Oxford United 3-0 Burton Albion result, stats and report

Oxford United
Oxford United
Won · xG 1.35
3 – 0
FT 08:35
Burton Albion
Lost · xG 0.49
Burton Albion
Match review
Next: Oxford United v Wigan Athletic · Tue 20 Oct · Burton Albion v Bradford City · Tue 20 Oct
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Who won Oxford United vs Burton Albion?

Oxford United 3-0 Burton Albion, full time in League One. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

Match Review · published 13 Sept 2026, 00:30 BST

Oxford United 0-3 Burton Albion: Visitors Stun the Kassam with Late Blitz

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Burton Albion came from a dominant position to put three past Oxford United in the final fifteen minutes, with Siriki Dembélé, Louie Sibley, and Gatlin O'Donkor sealing a comprehensive away win. Oxford had the lion's share of possession but could not find a…

Read the review
How it played out

Oxford United won it 3–0

Oxford UnitedBRA

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 08:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Oxford United 3–0 Burton Albion

Burton Albion came from a dominant position to put three past Oxford United in the final fifteen minutes, with Siriki Dembélé, Louie Sibley, and Gatlin O'Donkor sealing a comprehensive away win. Oxford had the lion's share of possession but could not find a way through when it mattered.

League OneSat 12 Sept, 15:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Oxford United beat Burton Albion 3-0 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Oxford United 1.35 to Burton Albion 0.49 on expected goals.

First Goal
S
76'⚽
Siriki Dembélé
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Oxford United 1.35 xGBurton Albion 0.49 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Oxford United to win

43%Matched

Result

Oxford United3:0Burton Albion

Oxford United v BRA

Our model called Oxford United to win at 43%. Oxford United 3-0 Burton Albion. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Oxford United beat Burton Albion 3-0 at the Kassam Stadium in League One. Our model backed an Oxford win at 43% probability, and the pick landed. Burton arrived in poor form, winless across their last five matches, while Oxford had won just once in the same span. The clean sheet was notable given Burton's recent tendency to score; they had both teams scoring in all five of their previous outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Oxford United v Burton Albion · League One ·

More from this competition: League One predictions · League One odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Peter Kioso★ MOTM90 min7.3
  2. Louie Sibley1 goal · 4 min7.1
  3. C. WebsterBRA90 min7.0
  4. Will Collar62 min7.0
  5. Toby SibbickBRA90 min6.7

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Oxford UnitedBurton AlbionLeague One

The provider forecast gives Oxford United win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Oxford United
43.4%
Draw
27.2%
BRA
29.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.4%
Over 2.5 goals
47.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Oxford United win was the highest probability; the match result was Oxford United win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Oxford United and Burton Albion, landing once across 12 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 7/12recorded league meetings saw both teams score (58.3%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 20league matches at home unbeaten for Oxford United.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for Burton Albion.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Oxford United scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Burton Albion scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Oxford United have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Burton Albion have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Brodie Spencer has the highest listed average xGOT for Oxford United at 0.74 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Curtis Tilt has the highest listed average xGOT for Burton Albion at 0.97 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Oxford United vs Burton Albion?
    Oxford United beat BRA 3-0 in the League One at The Kassam Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Siriki Dembélé opened the scoring in the 76th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Siriki Dembélé (76'), Louie Sibley (90'), Gatlin O'Donkor (94').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    William Davis officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Oxford United vs BRA kicked off on Saturday, 12 September 2026 UK time at The Kassam Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Oxford United play Wigan Athletic on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 UK time. BRA play Burton Albion on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.