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La Liga · MW7 Estadio El Sadar, IruñeaRef: Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano result, stats and report

Osasuna
Drew · xG 0.88
1 – 1
FT
Drew · xG 1.68
Rayo Vallecano
Next: Osasuna v Athletic Club · Sat 7 Nov · Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

OsasunaRayo VallecanoLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Osasuna win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Osasuna
49.9%
Draw
24.2%
Rayo Vallecano
26.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.8%
Over 2.5 goals
55.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Osasuna win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

50%
24%
26%
49.9%Osasuna
24.2%Draw
26.0%Rayo Vallecano

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 56.8%No 43.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 55.4%No 44.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.1%
2-1
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Osasuna or draw at 56.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.5%.

Double Chance

1X
56.6%
12
6.0%
X2
37.4%

Half-Time Result

Osasuna
36.0%
Draw
42.9%
Rayo Vallecano
21.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Osasuna
Draw
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
30.8%
4.6%
1.8%
Draw
18.1%
16.2%
8.4%
Rayo Vallecano
3.5%
4.8%
11.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.5%
No
90.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.