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La Liga · MW7 Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
22h 3m
Osasuna 50%Draw 24%Rayo Vallecano 26%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
Published 03:55 · Plus Tips members see the selection
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Should you back Osasuna or Rayo Vallecano?

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano kicks off UK time in La Liga. The match is at Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea. Our model's pick is Both teams to score at a 56.8% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Osasuna winning 2, Rayo Vallecano winning 0 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Osasuna has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Osasuna49.9%
Draw24.2%
BTTS yes56.8%

Updated

Over 2.555.4%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts

Match facts before kick-off

Head-to-head evidence
  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano, landing 3 times across 12 league meetings on record.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 7/12recorded league meetings saw both teams score (58.3%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 6league matches at home unbeaten for Osasuna.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Osasuna scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Rayo Vallecano scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Osasuna have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Rayo Vallecano have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Ante Budimir has the highest listed average xGOT for Osasuna at 0.70 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Sergio Camello has the highest listed average xGOT for Rayo Vallecano at 0.38 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
Swipe or use arrows · 1 of 9

Useful historical patterns from our match facts feed, with the evidence window stated in each claim.Source: match facts feed · · Scope: league matches

Match Facts feed current.

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
4.9
xG for
5
Goals
6.7
xGA
Last 6 matches
6.6
xG for
10 +3.4
Goals
11.5
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
OsasunaNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Osasuna recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L00.42
2L00.82
3L20.75
4W11.01
5W21.21
6D00.68
Rayo VallecanoNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Rayo Vallecano recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W21.53
2L11.27
3W31.19
4L20.36
5D10.57
6L11.65
Osasuna have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 7 points against 8.2 expected. Rayo Vallecano have taken more points than their chances were worth: 7 points against 5.5 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Osasuna generated 4.9 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 5, almost exactly in line with that chance total. Rayo Vallecano generated 6.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 10, 3.4 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Osasuna: 6 matches · Rayo Vallecano: 6
Recent team comparison. Osasuna sample 6; Rayo Vallecano sample 6.
MeasureOsasunaRayo Vallecano
Goals / game0.831.67
Conceded / game22.5
xG / game0.821.1
xG conceded / game1.121.92
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~12:00
Rayo Vallecano11 starters
24Lejeune
2Rațiu
32Mendy
6Ciss
17López
15Gumbau
4Díaz
23Valentín
10Camello
18García
19Frutos
Out / doubtful
🩹 Moi Gómez injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

Osasuna host Rayo Vallecano on Saturday, 19 September at 12:00 UTC at Estadio El Sadar. Osasuna have won their last two meetings against Rayo without conceding, though both sides have shown vulnerability in recent form; Osasuna are 1-4 in their last five while Rayo sit 1-3-1, with both teams combining for both goals in all five of Rayo's recent outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
    Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano takes place on Saturday 19 September at 13:00 (UK time) in the La Liga at Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea.
  • Who is the model backing in Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score (btts), with around 57% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano?
    In their last 2 meetings, Osasuna won 2, Rayo Vallecano won 0, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for La Liga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
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SportSignals Tip record

Published before kickoff
La Liga· published 03:55
Publication provenance
  • Immutable Tips ledger · record b5ee19a0-a152-4935-9af0-ac14037e6c44 · model publication version not recorded

Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.