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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Osasuna ended a run of four La Liga defeats with a controlled 2-0 home win over Racing Santander, settling the match from the penalty spot inside nine minutes before Asier Osambela wrapped it up late on. Racing offered little in front of goal and had no ans…
Osasuna ended a run of four La Liga defeats with a controlled 2-0 home win over Racing Santander, settling the match from the penalty spot inside nine minutes before Asier Osambela wrapped it up late on. Racing offered little in front of goal and had no answer for Osasuna's purpose.
La LigaSun 18 Oct, 13:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Osasuna beat Racing Santander 2-0 at home.
Goals
Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
The chances backed the result: Osasuna 3.94 to Racing Santander 0.33 on expected goals.
First Goal
A
88'⚽
Asier Osambela
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Osasuna 3.94 xGRacing Santander 0.33 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
📊 Match recap and data context
Osasuna beat Racing Santander 2-0 at El Sadar in La Liga. Our model backed an Osasuna win at 49 percent probability, and the pick landed. Ante Budimir converted a penalty in the ninth minute before Asier Osambela added a second in the 88th to seal the result. Osasuna's defensive performance proved decisive; Racing Santander failed to register a goal despite arriving with an 80 percent both-teams-to-score rate across their last five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Osasuna win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.8%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Osasuna
48.8%
Draw
24.4%
RAC
26.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.5%
Over 2.5 goals
55.1%
Full-time forecast audit: Osasuna win was the highest probability; the match result was Osasuna win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP
SportSignals Tip settlement
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
La Liga· published 03:55lost
Racing Santander to win
Logged at 3.70 with Betfair Sportsbook
Betfair Sportsbook offered 3.70 when we checked at 01:05 on 18 Oct.
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record ce97497a-6add-487a-82e4-dfc536965433 · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Match facts · what the record shows
8 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Racing Santander, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 20 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Racing Santander, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 8 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Osasuna, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 20 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Osasuna, the final recorded goal situation matched 8 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
Osasuna scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Osasuna have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Ante Budimir has the highest listed average xGOT for Osasuna at 0.71 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Andrés Martín has the highest listed average xGOT for Racing Santander at 0.79 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Osasuna beat RAC 2-0 in the La Liga at Estadio El Sadar.
▸Who scored the opening goal?
Ante Budimir opened the scoring in the 9th minute.
▸Who scored in the match?
Ante Budimir (9'), Asier Osambela (88').
▸How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
▸Who refereed the match?
Juan Martínez Munuera officiated.
▸When and where was the match played?
Osasuna vs RAC kicked off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 UK time at Estadio El Sadar.
▸How many corners were there in the match?
11 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
▸Did the model call it right?
Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
▸When do they play next?
Osasuna play Athletic Club on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. RAC play Málaga on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Our tip: Away win at 3.70, lostIn the recordLevel stakes, price at lock. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware.org
🎯 How the model called it
1 of 3 right
Osasuna48.8%Right
Draw24.4%
RAC26.8%
Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 rated 55.1%, so the model leaned overWrong
Both teams to scoreBTTS rated 56.5%, so the model leaned yesWrong
✦ Published Tip · settled
Immutable ledger
Racing Santander to winPublished 12 Oct, 03:55 · before kick-offLost
Logged at 3.70 with Betfair Sportsbook
Betfair Sportsbook offered 3.70 when we checked at 01:05 on 18 Oct.
The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.