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UEFA Europa League · MW1Ref: Balazs Berke
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta Vigo result, stats and report

Omonia Nicosia
Won · xG 0.39
1 – 0
FT 09:25
Lost · xG 1.40
Celta Vigo
Next: Omonia Nicosia v Benfica · Thu 22 Oct · Celtic v Celta Vigo · Thu 22 Oct
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Who won Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?

Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta Vigo, full time in the UEFA Europa League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.

How it played out

Omonia Nicosia won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 09:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta Vigo

Omonia Nicosia ground out a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Celta Vigo in the UEFA Europa League, with Jure Balkovec's late goal in the 88th minute proving the difference despite Celta dominating large spells of the contest.

Key Takeaways
Result

Omonia Nicosia beat Celta Vigo 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

Omonia Nicosia won against the run of the chances: Omonia Nicosia 0.39 to Celta Vigo 1.40 on expected goals, which favoured Celta Vigo.

First Goal
J
88'⚽
Jure Balkovec
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Omonia Nicosia 0.39 xGCelta Vigo 1.40 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Omonia Nicosia to win

41%Matched

Result

Omonia Nicosia1:0Celta Vigo

Omonia Nicosia v Celta Vigo

Our model called Omonia Nicosia to win at 41%. Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta Vigo. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Omonia Nicosia beat Celta Vigo 1-0 in the Europa League, with Jure Balkovec scoring in the 88th minute to settle a tight contest. Our model backed an Omonia win at 41% probability, and the pick landed. Neither side managed a goal until late in the match, reflecting Celta's recent struggles on the road. Omonia extended their recent run to one win in five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Omonia Nicosia v Celta Vigo · UEFA Europa League ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Jean-Kévin Duverne★ MOTM90 min8.0
  2. Marcos AlonsoCelta Vigo90 min7.3
  3. Álvaro NúñezCelta Vigo78 min7.2
  4. Hugo GonzálezCelta Vigo34 min7.0
  5. Miguel RománCelta Vigo90 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Omonia Nicosia win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Omonia Nicosia
40.7%
Draw
27.3%
Celta Vigo
32.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.0%
Over 2.5 goals
45.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Omonia Nicosia win was the highest probability; the match result was Omonia Nicosia win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2league matches at home unbeaten for Omonia Nicosia.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Omonia Nicosia scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Celta Vigo scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Omonia Nicosia have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Celta Vigo have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Loïs Diony has the highest listed average xGOT for Omonia Nicosia at 2.35 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Jure Balkovec opened the scoring in the 88th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Jure Balkovec (88').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 1 yellow card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Balazs Berke officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo kicked off on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Omonia Nicosia play Benfica on Thursday, 22 October 2026 UK time. Celta Vigo play Celtic on Thursday, 22 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.