Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Premier League · MW5 The City Ground, Nottingham, NottinghamshireRef: Jarred Gillett
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry result, stats and report

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Lost · xG 1.37
0 – 1
FT 07:15
Coventry
Won · xG 0.57
Coventry
Match review
Next: Ipswich v Nottingham Forest · Fri 23 Oct · Coventry v Fulham · Sat 24 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Nottingham Forest vs Coventry?

Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry, full time in the Premier League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.

How it played out

Coventry won it 1–0

Nottingham ForestCoventry

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 07:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry

Nottingham Forest dominated possession and fired 24 shots at Coventry but could not find a way through, as Jay Dasilva's second-half finish secured a shock Premier League win for the visitors.

Premier LeagueSat 19 Sept, 17:30
Key Takeaways
Result

Coventry won 1-0 away at Nottingham Forest.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

Coventry won against the run of the chances: Nottingham Forest 1.37 to Coventry 0.57 on expected goals, which favoured Nottingham Forest.

First Goal
J
55'⚽
Jay Dasilva
CAssist: Carl Rushworth
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Nottingham Forest 1.37 xGCoventry 0.57 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Nottingham Forest to win

46%Missed

Result

Nottingham Forest0:1Coventry

Nottingham Forest v Coventry

Our model leaned Nottingham Forest to win at 46%. Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Nottingham Forest fell to Coventry 0-1 at The City Ground, with Jay Dasilva scoring in the 55th minute. Our model favored a Forest win at 46% probability; the pick missed. Coventry arrived in strong form, unbeaten across their last five matches, while Forest managed just one draw in that span. The visitors controlled the decisive moment and held firm thereafter, securing three points on the road. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Nottingham Forest v Coventry · Premier League ·

More from this competition: Premier League predictions · Premier League odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Bobby ThomasCoventry★ MOTM90 min8.0
  2. Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest90 min8.0
  3. Ethan Pinnock90 min7.8
  4. Jay DasilvaCoventry1 goal · 90 min7.5
  5. Neco WilliamsNottingham Forest90 min7.5

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Nottingham ForestCoventryPremier League

The provider forecast gives Nottingham Forest win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Nottingham Forest
45.7%
Draw
25.6%
Coventry
28.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.4%
Over 2.5 goals
48.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Nottingham Forest win was the highest probability; the match result was Coventry win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 9league matches at home unbeaten for Nottingham Forest.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2league matches away from home winless for Coventry.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Nottingham Forest scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Nottingham Forest have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Chris Wood has the highest listed average xGOT for Nottingham Forest at 0.52 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Nottingham Forest vs Coventry?
    Coventry beat Nottingham Forest 1-0 in the Premier League at The City Ground.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Jay Dasilva opened the scoring in the 55th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Jay Dasilva (55').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Jarred Gillett officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Nottingham Forest vs Coventry kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time at The City Ground.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Nottingham Forest play Ipswich on Friday, 23 October 2026 UK time. Coventry play Fulham on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.