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EFL Championship · MW10 Carrow Road, Norwich, NorfolkRef: Stephen Martin
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Norwich 0-1 Southampton result, stats and report

Norwich
Lost · xG 1.01
0 – 1
FT 06:05
Won · xG 2.58
Southampton
Next: Bristol City v Norwich · Sat 7 Nov · Preston v Southampton · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NorwichSouthamptonEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Norwich win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Norwich
40.6%
Draw
23.9%
Southampton
35.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
62.9%
Over 2.5 goals
61.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Norwich win was the highest probability; the match result was Southampton win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
24%
36%
40.6%Norwich
23.9%Draw
35.5%Southampton

Both Teams to Score

63%
Yes 62.9%No 37.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62%
Yes 61.8%No 38.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.9%
0-1
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Norwich or draw at 51.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.8%.

Double Chance

1X
51.4%
12
4.4%
X2
44.2%

Half-Time Result

Norwich
35.9%
Draw
38.3%
Southampton
25.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Norwich
Draw
Southampton
Norwich
24.3%
5.9%
3.1%
Draw
13.5%
13.8%
11.9%
Southampton
2.9%
5.3%
19.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.8%
No
92.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.