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EFL Championship · MW3 Carrow Road, Norwich, NorfolkRef: Elliot Bell
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Norwich 4-1 Burnley result, stats and report

Norwich
Won · xG 2.27
4 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 1.13
Burnley
Next: Swansea v Norwich · Sat 10 Oct · Watford v Burnley · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NorwichBurnleyEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Norwich win the highest 1X2 probability at 54.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Norwich
54.1%
Draw
23.4%
Burnley
22.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.2%
Over 2.5 goals
55.8%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

54%
23%
23%
54.1%Norwich
23.4%Draw
22.5%Burnley

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 55.2%No 44.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 55.8%No 44.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.8%
2-1
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
1-2
6.0%
0-0
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Norwich or draw at 62.0%; the most likely half-time state is Norwich leading at half-time at 43.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.8%.

Double Chance

1X
62.0%
12
5.8%
X2
32.2%

Half-Time Result

Norwich
43.0%
Draw
39.9%
Burnley
17.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Norwich
Draw
Burnley
Norwich
36.9%
4.7%
1.7%
Draw
18.9%
14.3%
6.8%
Burnley
2.7%
4.4%
9.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.8%
No
89.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.