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EFL Championship · MW8 Carrow Road, Norwich, NorfolkRef: Tom Nield
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Norwich 3-4 Bolton Wanderers result, stats and report

Norwich
Norwich
Lost · xG 0.93
3 – 4
FT 02:25
Bolton Wanderers
Won · xG 1.04
Bolton Wanderers
Match review
Next: Derby v Norwich · Tue 3 Nov · Charlton v Bolton Wanderers · Tue 3 Nov
Skip match sections

Who won Norwich vs Bolton Wanderers?

Norwich 3-4 Bolton Wanderers, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed.

How it played out

BOL won it 4–3

NorwichBOL

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 02:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Norwich 3–4 Bolton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers came to Norwich and left with three points after a seven-goal Championship contest that had everything except defensive accountability. Norwich led twice and still found a way to lose.

EFL ChampionshipSun 20 Sept, 13:30
Key Takeaways
Result

Bolton Wanderers won 4-3 away at Norwich.

Goals

7 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
M
5'⚽
Mohamed Touré
AAssist: Andre Brooks
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Norwich 0.93 xGBolton Wanderers 1.04 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Norwich to win

50%Missed

Result

Norwich3:4Bolton Wanderers

Norwich v BOL

Our model leaned Norwich to win at 50%. Norwich 3-4 Bolton Wanderers. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Norwich hosted Bolton at Carrow Road in the EFL Championship and lost 3-4 after a frantic opening. Mohamed Touré put the home side ahead in the fifth minute, but Bolton equalized through Thierry Gale three minutes later. Ruairi McConville restored Norwich's lead in the nineteenth minute, yet Bolton rallied to win. Our model backed a Norwich victory at 50% probability; the pick missed. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Norwich v Bolton Wanderers · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. S. DalbyBOL★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min7.5
  2. Atsuki ItoBOL1 goal · 20 min7.2
  3. Mohamed TouréNorwich1 goal · 15 min7.2
  4. Thierry GaleBOL1 goal · 90 min7.2
  5. Oscar SchwartauNorwich1 assist · 59 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NorwichBolton WanderersEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Norwich win the highest 1X2 probability at 50.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Norwich
50.1%
Draw
23.8%
BOL
26.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.5%
Over 2.5 goals
56.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Norwich win was the highest probability; the match result was Bolton Wanderers win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-1is the most common scoreline between Norwich and Bolton Wanderers, landing 2 times across 5 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3/5recorded league meetings saw both teams score (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 8league matches at home unbeaten for Norwich.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Norwich scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Bolton Wanderers scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Norwich have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Bolton Wanderers have averaged 0.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Mohamed Touré has the highest listed average xGOT for Norwich at 0.82 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Rúben Rodrigues has the highest listed average xGOT for Bolton Wanderers at 0.67 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Norwich vs Bolton Wanderers?
    BOL beat Norwich 4-3 in the EFL Championship at Carrow Road.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Mohamed Touré opened the scoring in the 5th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Mohamed Touré (5'), Thierry Gale (8'), Ruairi McConville (19'), Gaizka Larrazabal (42'), Sam Dalby (47'), Jack Stacey (61'), Atsuki Ito (72').
  • Who refereed the match?
    Tom Nield officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Norwich vs BOL kicked off on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time at Carrow Road.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    6 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Norwich play Derby on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time. BOL play Charlton on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.