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Ligue 1 · MW6 Allianz Riviera, NiceRef: Jérémie Pignard
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Nice 2-1 Strasbourg result, stats and report

Nice
Won · xG 1.12
2 – 1
FT 00:25
Lost · xG 0.68
Strasbourg
Next: Nice v Rennes · Fri 30 Oct · Strasbourg v Auxerre · Sun 1 Nov
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Who won Nice vs Strasbourg?

Nice 2-1 Strasbourg, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Nice to win, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Strasbourg won it.

Match Review · published 11 Oct 2026, 20:20 BST

Nice 2-1 Strasbourg: Clauss Seals It But Nice Squander Four Big Chances

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Nice got the job done against Strasbourg at home, winning 2-1 thanks to Jonathan Clauss's 81st-minute winner, but four big chances created and four big chances missed tells you everything you need to know about where this side is right now.

Read the review
How it played out

Nice won it 2–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 00:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Nice 2–1 Strasbourg

Nice got the job done against Strasbourg at home, winning 2-1 thanks to Jonathan Clauss's 81st-minute winner, but four big chances created and four big chances missed tells you everything you need to know about where this side is right now.

Key Takeaways
Result

Nice beat Strasbourg 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
D
41'⚽
Dário Essugo
CAssist: Conrad Harder Weibel Schandorf
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Nice 1.12 xGStrasbourg 0.68 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Nice to win

47%Matched

Result

Nice2:1Strasbourg

Nice v Strasbourg

Our model called Nice to win at 47%. Nice 2-1 Strasbourg. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Nice beat Strasbourg 2-1 at the Allianz Riviera in Ligue 1. Our model backed a Nice win at 47 percent probability, and the pick landed. Strasbourg took the lead through Dário Essugo in the 41st minute, but an own goal by Pape Demba Diop levelled matters before half-time. Jonathan Clauss restored Nice's advantage in the 81st minute to secure the result. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Nice v Strasbourg · Ligue 1 ·

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Jonathan ClaussNice★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min8.7
  2. Jeyland Mitchell76 min7.5
  3. Pape Demba Diop90 min7.5
  4. Dário Essugo1 goal · 73 min7.4
  5. Filip Jørgensen90 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Nice win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Nice
46.6%
Draw
25.6%
Strasbourg
27.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.8%
Over 2.5 goals
55.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Nice win was the highest probability; the match result was Nice win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Strasbourg, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 22 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Strasbourg, the final recorded goal situation matched 21 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Nice, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 22 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Nice, the final recorded goal situation matched 18 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Nice and Strasbourg, landing 3 times across 17 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 8/17recorded league meetings saw both teams score (47.1%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 32league matches at home unbeaten for Nice.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Nice scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Strasbourg scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Nice have averaged 0.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Nice vs Strasbourg?
    Nice beat Strasbourg 2-1 in the Ligue 1 at Allianz Riviera.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Dário Essugo opened the scoring in the 41st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Dário Essugo (41'), Pape Demba Diop (47', og), Jonathan Clauss (81').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Jérémie Pignard officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Nice vs Strasbourg kicked off on Sunday, 11 October 2026 UK time at Allianz Riviera.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    5 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Nice to win, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Nice play Rennes on Friday, 30 October 2026 UK time. Strasbourg play Auxerre on Sunday, 1 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.