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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.
Nice 2-1 Lille, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.
Nice produced a remarkable second-half fightback to beat Lille 2-1 at the Allianz Riviera, with Mohamed Amoura's 67th-minute finish proving the decisive blow after a Nathan Ngoy own goal had gifted the hosts an early lead.
Read the reviewNo minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Nice 2–1 Lille
Nice produced a remarkable second-half fightback to beat Lille 2-1 at the Allianz Riviera, with Mohamed Amoura's 67th-minute finish proving the decisive blow after a Nathan Ngoy own goal had gifted the hosts an early lead.
Nice beat Lille 2-1 at home.
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Lille to win
Result
2:1
Nice v Lille
Nice defeated Lille 2-1 at the Allianz Riviera in a Ligue 1 match that saw our model's Lille Win pick at 39% probability miss the mark. An own goal by Nathan Ngoy gave Nice an early advantage in the 22nd minute, and Mohamed Amoura extended the lead in the 67th. Ayase Ueda pulled one back for Lille in the 79th, but the hosts held on despite Lille's strong recent form. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Nice v Lille · Ligue 1 ·
More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
The provider forecast gives Lille win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.3%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Full-time forecast audit: Lille win was the highest probability; the match result was Nice win.
Forecast result checked ·
Logged at 1.33 with Betfair Exchange
Betfair Exchange offered 1.33 when we checked at 01:05 on 20 Sept.
Betfair Exchange is a betting exchange. It takes a small commission from winnings.
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Logged at 1.33 with Betfair Exchange
Betfair Exchange offered 1.33 when we checked at 01:05 on 20 Sept.
Betfair Exchange is a betting exchange. It takes a small commission from winnings.
The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.
Open the ledgerAfter 7 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.
