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Ligue 1 ยท MW5 Allianz Riviera, NiceRef: Willy Delajod

Nice vs Lille prediction, odds and how to watch

Nice
Nice
Kicks off in
2d 0h
Nice 33%Draw 27%Lille 39%
Lille
Lille
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
Published 03:55 ยท Plus Tips members see the selection
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Should you back Nice or Lille?

Nice vs Lille kicks off UK time in Ligue 1. The match is at Allianz Riviera, Nice. Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 50.3% modelled probability. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.

Match intelligence ยท not a tip

Lille has the highest forecast probability ยท Under 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability ยท model
Nice33.3%
Draw27.2%
Lille39.5%
BTTS yes53.1%

Updated

Over 2.549.7%

Updated

Head to head ยท last 6Full H2H โ†’

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast ยท Prediction tab ยท Methodology

Match facts

Match facts before kick-off

Head-to-head evidence
  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Nice and Lille, landing 6 times across 25 league meetings on record.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 13/25recorded league meetings saw both teams score (52%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 29league matches at home unbeaten for Nice.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 11league matches away from home unbeaten for Lille.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Nice scored first in 1 of their last 10 league matches (10%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Lille scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Nice have averaged 0.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Lille have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Ali Abdi has the highest listed average xGOT for Nice at 0.45 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Ayase Ueda has the highest listed average xGOT for Lille at 0.68 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
Swipe or use arrows ยท 1 of 10

Useful historical patterns from our match facts feed, with the evidence window stated in each claim.Source: match facts feed ยท ยท Scope: league matches

Match Facts feed current.

Form & xG ยท last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
NiceNice
6.3
xG for
2โ–ผ -4.3
Goals
6.7
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
LilleLille
6.8
xG for
9โ–ฒ +2.2
Goals
8.4
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
NiceNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Nice recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L00.95
2D10.64
3L00.36
4D01.05
5D01.83
6L11.48
LilleNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Lille recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W21.47
2L20.97
3W11.03
4D20.72
5W20.96
6L01.64
Nice have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 2 points against 4.1 expected. Lille have taken more points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 5.3 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Nice generated 6.3 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 2, 4.3 below that chance total. Lille generated 6.8 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 9, 2.2 above that chance total.

Team comparison ยท recent form

Nice: 6 matches ยท Lille: 6
Recent team comparison. Nice sample 6; Lille sample 6.
MeasureNiceLille
Goals / game0.331.5
Conceded / game1.171.17
xG / game1.051.13
xG conceded / game1.121.4
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Nice v Lille

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable ยท confirmed ~15:15
NiceLille
Nice11 starters
31Dupรฉ
80Diouf
55Ndayishimiye
92Clauss
26Bard
24Vanhoutte
39Coulibaly
23Bernardeau
10Diop
32Boudache
11Wahi
Lille11 starters
1ร–zer
18Mbemba
3Ngoy
4Alexsandro
22Santos
12Meunier
15Perraud
6Bentaleb
10Haraldsson
21Andrรฉ
8Mbappรฉ
Out / doubtful
๐Ÿฉน Antoine Mendy injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page ยท Full lineups and injuries โ†’

๐Ÿ“Š Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Nice v Lille ยท Ligue 1 ยท

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions ยท Ligue 1 odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Nice vs Lille?
    Nice vs Lille takes place on Sunday 20 September at 16:15 (UK time) in the Ligue 1 at Allianz Riviera, Nice.
  • Who is the model backing in Nice vs Lille?
    Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals (totals), with around 50% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Lille?
    In their last 1 meetings, Nice won 0, Lille won 0, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 0 of those 1.
  • How can I watch Nice vs Lille?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Ligue 1 coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Nice vs Lille free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Nice vs Lille are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tip record ยท publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
โœฆ TIP

SportSignals Tip record

Published before kickoff
Ligue 1ยท published 03:55
Publication provenance
  • Immutable Tips ledger ยท record 8e7d05c6-f01e-44bf-8153-aee7fe1edea4 ยท model publication version not recorded

Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.