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Carabao Cup St. James' Park, Newcastle upon TyneRef: Robert Madley
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Newcastle United 3-2 West Brom result, stats and report

Newcastle United
Won · xG 2.11
3 – 2
FT 01:55
Lost · xG 1.60
West Brom
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Newcastle United v Everton · Mon 2 Nov · West Brom v Southampton · Tue 3 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Newcastle UnitedWest BromCarabao Cup

The provider forecast gives West Brom win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Newcastle United
34.0%
Draw
24.4%
West Brom
41.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.1%
Over 2.5 goals
57.8%

Full-time forecast audit: West Brom win was the highest probability; the match result was Newcastle United win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

34%
24%
42%
34.0%Newcastle United
24.4%Draw
41.6%West Brom

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 58.1%No 41.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 57.8%No 42.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates West Brom or draw at 51.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.4%.

Double Chance

1X
42.5%
12
5.7%
X2
51.8%

Half-Time Result

Newcastle United
28.0%
Draw
41.1%
West Brom
30.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Newcastle United
Draw
West Brom
Newcastle United
20.6%
4.6%
2.6%
Draw
12.3%
14.6%
14.4%
West Brom
2.4%
5.2%
23.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.4%
No
94.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.