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Carabao Cup St. James' Park, Newcastle upon TyneRef: Robert Madley
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Newcastle United 3-2 West Brom result, stats and report

Newcastle United
Won · xG 2.11
3 – 2
FT 01:55
Lost · xG 1.60
West Brom
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Newcastle United v Everton · Mon 2 Nov · West Brom v Southampton · Tue 3 Nov
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Who won Newcastle United vs West Brom?

Newcastle United 3-2 West Brom, full time in the Carabao Cup. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

Newcastle United won it 3–2

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 01:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Newcastle United 3–2 West Brom

Connor Maguire breaks down Newcastle's Carabao Cup second round clash with West Brom. The Magpies are favourites but their defensive standards have been unacceptable. Here is what the numbers say and where the value lies.

Key Takeaways
Result

Newcastle United beat West Brom 3-2 at home.

Goals

5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
I
19'⚽
Isaac Price
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Newcastle United 2.11 xGWest Brom 1.60 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

West Brom to win

42%Missed

Result

Newcastle United3:2West Brom

Newcastle United v West Brom

Our model leaned West Brom to win at 42%. Newcastle United 3-2 West Brom. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Newcastle United beat West Brom 3-2 at St. James' Park in the Carabao Cup. Our model backed West Brom at 42 percent probability; the pick missed. Newcastle had won just once in five matches heading in, while West Brom arrived on a three-win run. Both sides found the net, continuing their recent pattern of both-teams-scoring outcomes. The home side held on despite the visitor's late pressure. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Newcastle United v West Brom · Carabao Cup ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Harvey BarnesNewcastle United★ MOTM2 goals · 44 min8.7
  2. Amar DedicNewcastle United2 assists · 90 min8.2
  3. Malick ThiawNewcastle United1 assist · 90 min7.9
  4. Isaac Jude PriceWest Brom2 goals · 80 min7.5
  5. Bazoumana TouréNewcastle United1 goal · 46 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives West Brom win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Newcastle United
34.0%
Draw
24.4%
West Brom
41.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.1%
Over 2.5 goals
57.8%

Full-time forecast audit: West Brom win was the highest probability; the match result was Newcastle United win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For West Brom, the final recorded goal situation matched 7 comparable matches from 28 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For West Brom, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 13 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Newcastle United, the final recorded goal situation matched 7 comparable matches from 28 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Newcastle United, the final recorded goal situation matched 9 comparable matches from 25 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 13league matches at home unbeaten for Newcastle United.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Newcastle United scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • West Brom scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Newcastle United have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • West Brom have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Lewis Miley has the highest listed average xGOT for Newcastle United at 1.11 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Newcastle United vs West Brom?
    Newcastle United beat West Brom 3-2 in the Carabao Cup at St. James' Park.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Isaac Price opened the scoring in the 19th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Isaac Price (19'), Bazoumana Touré (38'), Harvey Barnes (48'), Isaac Price (77'), Harvey Barnes (81').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Robert Madley officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Newcastle United vs West Brom kicked off on Wednesday, 26 August 2026 UK time at St. James' Park.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Newcastle United play Everton on Monday, 2 November 2026 UK time. West Brom play Southampton on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.