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Major League SoccerRef: Nabil Bensalah
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

New England 1-0 Chicago Fire result, stats and report

New England
Won · xG 0.37
1 – 0
FT 09:45
Lost · xG 1.30
Chicago Fire
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Orlando City v New England · Sat 7 Nov · Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

New EnglandChicago FireMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives New England win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

NER
38.0%
Draw
24.4%
CHI
37.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
64.8%
Over 2.5 goals
63.4%

Full-time forecast audit: New England win was the highest probability; the match result was New England win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
24%
38%
38.0%NER
24.4%Draw
37.6%CHI

Both Teams to Score

65%
Yes 64.8%No 35.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 63.4%No 36.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
42%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
1-0
6.3%
0-1
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates NER or draw at 49.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 36.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.0%.

Double Chance

1X
49.4%
12
4.1%
X2
46.5%

Half-Time Result

NER
35.2%
Draw
36.8%
CHI
28.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
NER
Draw
CHI
NER
22.5%
5.9%
4.2%
Draw
12.5%
13.3%
11.9%
CHI
2.6%
5.9%
21.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.0%
No
92.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.