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Eredivisie · MW5 Goffertstadion, NijmegenRef: Allard Lindhout
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Feyenoord result, stats and report

NEC Nijmegen
Lost · xG 0.37
1 – 3
FT
Won · xG 0.76
Feyenoord
Next: NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia · Thu 15 Oct · Feyenoord v Como · Wed 14 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NEC NijmegenFeyenoordEredivisie

The provider forecast gives Feyenoord win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

NEC Nijmegen
30.5%
Draw
23.6%
Feyenoord
45.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
64.4%
Over 2.5 goals
65.0%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

31%
24%
46%
30.5%NEC Nijmegen
23.6%Draw
45.9%Feyenoord

Both Teams to Score

64%
Yes 64.4%No 35.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

65%
Yes 65.0%No 35.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
43%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
0-1
6.4%
0-2
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Feyenoord or draw at 54.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.2%.

Double Chance

1X
41.2%
12
4.0%
X2
54.8%

Half-Time Result

NEC Nijmegen
26.1%
Draw
37.7%
Feyenoord
36.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
NEC Nijmegen
Draw
Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
18.4%
5.3%
4.0%
Draw
10.8%
13.8%
12.6%
Feyenoord
2.2%
6.3%
26.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.2%
No
93.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.