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Liga Portugal · MW7Ref: Gustavo Fernandes Correia
Full time

Nacional 0-4 Famalicão result, stats and report

Nacional
Lost · xG 1.25
0 – 4
FT
Won · xG 1.10
Famalicão
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NacionalFamalicãoLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Famalicão win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

NAC
31.0%
Draw
27.5%
FAM
41.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.0%
Over 2.5 goals
49.2%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

31%
28%
41%
31.0%NAC
27.5%Draw
41.5%FAM

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.0%No 46.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 49.2%No 50.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates FAM or draw at 49.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 47.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.3%.

Double Chance

1X
42.9%
12
7.9%
X2
49.2%

Half-Time Result

NAC
24.0%
Draw
47.4%
FAM
28.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
NAC
Draw
FAM
NAC
15.7%
5.6%
2.7%
Draw
11.4%
19.0%
16.0%
FAM
2.0%
5.8%
21.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.3%
No
96.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.