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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW7Ref: Jarosław Przybył
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Motor Lublin 2-3 Legia Warszawa result, stats and report

Next: Motor Lublin v Śląsk Wrocław · Sat 17 Oct · Cracovia Kraków v Legia Warszawa · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Motor LublinLegia WarszawaPolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Legia Warszawa win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MOT
29.9%
Draw
26.2%
LEG
44.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.0%
Over 2.5 goals
48.9%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

30%
26%
44%
29.9%MOT
26.2%Draw
44.0%LEG

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.0%No 46.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 48.9%No 51.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.7%
0-0
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LEG or draw at 50.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.0%.

Double Chance

1X
41.9%
12
7.4%
X2
50.7%

Half-Time Result

MOT
24.0%
Draw
42.7%
LEG
33.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MOT
Draw
LEG
MOT
16.1%
5.7%
3.4%
Draw
11.3%
15.7%
14.4%
LEG
2.5%
5.3%
25.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.0%
No
97.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.