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Liga Portugal · MW8Ref: Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Moreirense 0-1 Gil Vicente result, stats and report

Moreirense
Lost · xG 1.16
0 – 1
FT 04:56
Won · xG 1.67
Gil Vicente
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Moreirense v Estrela Amadora · Sat 31 Oct · Gil Vicente v Vitória Guimarães · Mon 2 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MoreirenseGil VicenteLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Gil Vicente win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MOE
33.6%
Draw
27.1%
GIL
39.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.1%
Over 2.5 goals
47.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Gil Vicente win was the highest probability; the match result was Gil Vicente win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

34%
27%
39%
33.6%MOE
27.1%Draw
39.2%GIL

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 51.1%No 48.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

47%
Yes 47.1%No 52.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
25%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates GIL or draw at 49.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 46.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.7%.

Double Chance

1X
42.1%
12
8.3%
X2
49.6%

Half-Time Result

MOE
23.6%
Draw
46.4%
GIL
30.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MOE
Draw
GIL
MOE
15.3%
5.7%
2.9%
Draw
10.9%
19.1%
16.2%
GIL
2.0%
5.0%
22.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.7%
No
96.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.