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Liga Portugal ยท MW3Ref: Fabio Verssimo
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Moreirense 0-4 Benfica result, stats and report

Moreirense
Lost ยท xG 0.36
0 โ€“ 4
FT
Won ยท xG 3.10
Benfica
Next: Moreirense v Gil Vicente ยท Fri 9 Oct
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MoreirenseBenficaLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Benfica win the highest 1X2 probability at 71.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MOE
10.4%
Draw
18.2%
SLB
71.4%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
44.3%
Over 2.5 goals
54.8%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

18%
71%
10.4%MOE
18.2%Draw
71.4%SLB

Both Teams to Score

44%
Yes 44.3%No 55.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 54.8%No 45.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-2
13.3%
0-1
12.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
0-0
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SLB or draw at 73.9%; the most likely half-time state is SLB leading at half-time at 57.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 0.5%.

Double Chance

1X
19.9%
12
6.2%
X2
73.9%

Half-Time Result

MOE
9.4%
Draw
32.9%
SLB
57.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MOE
Draw
SLB
MOE
3.9%
3.1%
3.9%
Draw
3.6%
9.9%
19.1%
SLB
0.7%
3.4%
52.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
0.5%
No
99.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.