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Serie A · MW5Ref: Daniele Perenzoni
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Monza 2-1 Sassuolo result, stats and report

Monza
Won · xG 1.57
2 – 1
FT 11:25
Lost · xG 1.79
Sassuolo
Next: Monza v Napoli · Wed 28 Oct · Sassuolo v Lazio · Tue 27 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MonzaSassuoloSerie A

The provider forecast gives Monza win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MON
46.7%
Draw
26.8%
Sassuolo
26.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.1%
Over 2.5 goals
50.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Monza win was the highest probability; the match result was Monza win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

47%
27%
26%
46.7%MON
26.8%Draw
26.5%Sassuolo

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 55.1%No 44.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 50.6%No 49.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MON or draw at 53.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.2%.

Double Chance

1X
53.7%
12
7.5%
X2
38.9%

Half-Time Result

MON
33.3%
Draw
44.0%
Sassuolo
22.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MON
Draw
Sassuolo
MON
26.6%
5.1%
2.1%
Draw
17.8%
18.1%
7.8%
Sassuolo
2.9%
5.7%
13.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.2%
No
92.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.