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Serie A · MW5Ref: Daniele Perenzoni
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Monza 2-1 Sassuolo result, stats and report

Monza
Monza
Won · xG 1.57
2 – 1
FT 11:25
Sassuolo
Lost · xG 1.79
Sassuolo
Match review
Next: Monza v Napoli · Wed 28 Oct · Sassuolo v Lazio · Tue 27 Oct
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Who won Monza vs Sassuolo?

Monza 2-1 Sassuolo, full time in Serie A. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

MON won it 2–1

MONSassuolo

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 11:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Monza 2–1 Sassuolo

Monza ground out a 2-1 victory over a Sassuolo side that dominated possession and created more but could not convert when it mattered. Gustavo Varela scored twice to hand a fragile home side three points they will not forget in a hurry.

Serie AFri 18 Sept, 19:45
Key Takeaways
Result

Monza beat Sassuolo 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
G
51'⚽
Gustavo Varela
SAssist: Samuele Birindelli
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Monza 1.57 xGSassuolo 1.79 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Monza to win

47%Matched

Result

Monza2:1Sassuolo

MON v Sassuolo

Our model called Monza to win at 47%. Monza 2-1 Sassuolo. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Monza beat Sassuolo 2-1 in Serie A, with our model backing a Monza win at 47 percent probability; the pick landed. Gustavo Varela scored twice for the hosts, first from open play in the 51st minute and then from the penalty spot in the 63rd. Vasilije Adžić pulled one back for Sassuolo in the 88th minute. Both sides had found the net in each of their last five matches heading into the fixture. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Monza v Sassuolo · Serie A ·

More from this competition: Serie A predictions · Serie A odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Noel Törnqvist★ MOTM90 min7.8
  2. Darryl BakolaSassuolo82 min7.6
  3. Vasilije Adžić1 goal · 18 min7.2
  4. Armand LaurientéSassuolo90 min7.2
  5. Eddy Kouadio90 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MonzaSassuoloSerie A

The provider forecast gives Monza win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MON
46.7%
Draw
26.8%
Sassuolo
26.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.1%
Over 2.5 goals
50.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Monza win was the highest probability; the match result was Monza win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-1is the most common scoreline between Monza and Sassuolo, landing once across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2league matches at home unbeaten for Monza.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Monza scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sassuolo scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Monza have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sassuolo have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Jay Robinson has the highest listed average xGOT for Monza at 0.65 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Cas Odenthal has the highest listed average xGOT for Sassuolo at 0.86 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Monza vs Sassuolo?
    MON beat Sassuolo 2-1 in the Serie A.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Gustavo Varela opened the scoring in the 51st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Gustavo Varela (51'), Gustavo Varela (63'), Vasilije Adžić (88').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Daniele Perenzoni officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    MON vs Sassuolo kicked off on Friday, 18 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    12 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    MON play Monza on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 UK time. Sassuolo play Lazio on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.