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Serie B · MW6Ref: Alberto Arena
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Modena 3-2 Hellas Verona result, stats and report

Modena
Won · xG 2.15
3 – 2
FT 03:55
Lost · xG 2.03
Hellas Verona
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Virtus Entella v Modena · Sun 8 Nov · Mantova v Hellas Verona · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ModenaHellas VeronaSerie B

The provider forecast gives Modena win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MOD
47.4%
Draw
26.1%
Hellas Verona
26.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.9%
Over 2.5 goals
48.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Modena win was the highest probability; the match result was Modena win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

47%
26%
26%
47.4%MOD
26.1%Draw
26.5%Hellas Verona

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 50.9%No 49.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

48%
Yes 48.5%No 51.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MOD or draw at 60.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 47.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.7%.

Double Chance

1X
60.2%
12
8.0%
X2
31.9%

Half-Time Result

MOD
35.9%
Draw
47.1%
Hellas Verona
17.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MOD
Draw
Hellas Verona
MOD
31.6%
4.5%
1.2%
Draw
18.7%
19.0%
7.8%
Hellas Verona
2.7%
4.5%
9.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.7%
No
93.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.