This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.
Modena 3-2 Hellas Verona result, stats and report
Who won Modena vs Hellas Verona?
Modena 3-2 Hellas Verona, full time in Serie B. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.
Editorial publication status
No Match Review published
The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.
MOD won it 3–2
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Modena 3–2 Hellas Verona
Modena have managed just one clean sheet in their last ten Serie B matches, and Hellas Verona are coming to town having scored eight goals in four away outings. This has the makings of a scrap, and somebody's defensive frailties are about to be brutally exposed.
Modena beat Hellas Verona 3-2 at home.
5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Modena to win
Result
3:2
MOD v Hellas Verona
📊 Match recap and data context
Modena defeated Hellas Verona 3-2 in Serie B, landing our model's pick of a Modena win at 47% probability. Giuseppe Caso opened the scoring in the 13th minute, but Daniel Mosquera levelled twice for Verona by the 28th minute. Modena rallied to secure the three points. Both teams had shown vulnerability in defence; Verona had conceded in four of their last five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Modena v Hellas Verona · Serie B ·
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Modena win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- MOD
- 47.4%
- Draw
- 26.1%
- Hellas Verona
- 26.5%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 50.9%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48.5%
Full-time forecast audit: Modena win was the highest probability; the match result was Modena win.
Forecast result checked ·
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
Final live-fact record
- For Hellas Verona, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 9 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For Hellas Verona, the final recorded goal situation matched 8 comparable matches from 67 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
- For Modena, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 9 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For Modena, the final recorded goal situation matched 15 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
- Modena scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Hellas Verona scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Modena have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Hellas Verona have averaged 1.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Andrea Belotti has the highest listed average xGOT for Modena at 1.15 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Daniel Mosquera has the highest listed average xGOT for Hellas Verona at 1.65 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
What was the final score in Modena vs Hellas Verona?
MOD beat Hellas Verona 3-2 in the Serie B.Who scored the opening goal?
Giuseppe Caso opened the scoring in the 13th minute.Who scored in the match?
Giuseppe Caso (13'), Daniel Mosquera (24'), Daniel Mosquera (28'), Daniele Montevago (85'), Andrea Belotti (95').How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 4 yellow cards and 1 red card.Who refereed the match?
Alberto Arena officiated.When and where was the match played?
MOD vs Hellas Verona kicked off on Sunday, 11 October 2026 UK time.How many corners were there in the match?
7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.Did the model call it right?
No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.When do they play next?
MOD play Virtus Entella on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time. Hellas Verona play Mantova on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.