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Serie B · MW3Ref: Mario Di Loreto
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Modena 0-1 Avellino result, stats and report

Modena
Lost
0 – 1
FT 09:35
Next: Carrarese v Modena · Sat 17 Oct · Cesena v Avellino · Sun 18 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ModenaAvellinoSerie B

The provider forecast gives Modena win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MOD
56.1%
Draw
24.2%
AVE
19.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.0%
Over 2.5 goals
51.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Modena win was the highest probability; the match result was Avellino win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

56%
24%
20%
56.1%MOD
24.2%Draw
19.7%AVE

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 52.0%No 48.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 51.4%No 48.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
11.8%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MOD or draw at 63.7%; the most likely half-time state is MOD leading at half-time at 43.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.2%.

Double Chance

1X
63.7%
12
7.2%
X2
29.1%

Half-Time Result

MOD
43.2%
Draw
42.2%
AVE
14.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MOD
Draw
AVE
MOD
36.9%
4.6%
1.0%
Draw
20.1%
17.3%
5.9%
AVE
2.4%
4.3%
7.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.2%
No
89.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.