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Modena 0-1 Avellino, full time in Serie B. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Avellino won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Avellino took all three points at Modena with a Michele Besaggio goal in the eighth minute, and Modena never showed enough desire or threat to drag themselves back into it.
Avellino took all three points at Modena with a Michele Besaggio goal in the eighth minute, and Modena never showed enough desire or threat to drag themselves back into it.
Serie BSun 6 Sept, 14:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Avellino won 1-0 away at Modena.
Goals
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
M
8'⚽
Michele Besaggio
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Modena to win
56%Missed
Result
0:1
MOD v AVE
Our model leaned Modena to win at 56%. Modena 0-1 Avellino. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Avellino took the road win at Modena with a 1-0 result in Serie B. Our model favoured Modena at 56 percent probability, but the pick did not land. Modena had won two of their last five matches while Avellino arrived in poor form with three losses in five games. The visitors managed to break through despite Modena's recent home record. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Modena win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
MOD
56.1%
Draw
24.2%
AVE
19.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.0%
Over 2.5 goals
51.4%
Full-time forecast audit: Modena win was the highest probability; the match result was Avellino win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.