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Serie B · MW3Ref: Mario Di Loreto
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Modena 0-1 Avellino result, stats and report

Modena
Lost
0 – 1
FT 09:35
Next: Carrarese v Modena · Sat 17 Oct · Cesena v Avellino · Sun 18 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Modena vs Avellino?

Modena 0-1 Avellino, full time in Serie B. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Avellino won it.

How it played out

AVE won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 7 · 09:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Modena 0–1 Avellino

Avellino took all three points at Modena with a Michele Besaggio goal in the eighth minute, and Modena never showed enough desire or threat to drag themselves back into it.

Key Takeaways
Result

Avellino won 1-0 away at Modena.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
M
8'⚽
Michele Besaggio

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Modena to win

56%Missed

Result

Modena0:1Avellino

MOD v AVE

Our model leaned Modena to win at 56%. Modena 0-1 Avellino. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Avellino took the road win at Modena with a 1-0 result in Serie B. Our model favoured Modena at 56 percent probability, but the pick did not land. Modena had won two of their last five matches while Avellino arrived in poor form with three losses in five games. The visitors managed to break through despite Modena's recent home record. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Modena v Avellino · Serie B ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Patrick EnriciAVE★ MOTM90 min7.3
  2. Armando IzzoAVE90 min7.2
  3. Michele BesaggioAVE1 goal · 65 min7.0
  4. Raffaele RussoAVE90 min6.9
  5. Martin PalumboAVE90 min6.8

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Modena win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MOD
56.1%
Draw
24.2%
AVE
19.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.0%
Over 2.5 goals
51.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Modena win was the highest probability; the match result was Avellino win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Modena and Avellino, landing 2 times across 7 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4/7recorded league meetings saw both teams score (57.1%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Modena scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Avellino scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Modena have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Avellino have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Giacomo Olzer has the highest listed average xGOT for Modena at 0.39 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Tommaso Cancellotti has the highest listed average xGOT for Avellino at 0.81 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Modena vs Avellino?
    AVE beat MOD 1-0 in the Serie B.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Michele Besaggio opened the scoring in the 8th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Michele Besaggio (8').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Mario Di Loreto officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    MOD vs AVE kicked off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    MOD play Carrarese on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time. AVE play Cesena on Sunday, 18 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.