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EFL Championship · MW10 The Den, LondonRef: Edward Duckworth
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Millwall 0-1 Swansea result, stats and report

Millwall
Lost · xG 1.26
0 – 1
FT 06:15
Won · xG 2.02
Swansea
Next: Birmingham v Millwall · Tue 3 Nov · Portsmouth v Swansea · Tue 3 Nov
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Who won Millwall vs Swansea?

Millwall 0-1 Swansea, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land.

How it played out

Swansea won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 06:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Millwall 0–1 Swansea

Millwall dominated large spells and created the better chances, but a 90th-minute goal from substitute Ronald gave Swansea a 1-0 win that felt cruel on the numbers.

Key Takeaways
Result

Swansea won 1-0 away at Millwall.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Millwall 1.26 to Swansea 2.02 on expected goals.

First Goal
R
90'⚽
Ronald
JAssist: Joseph Opoku
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Millwall 1.26 xGSwansea 2.02 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Millwall to win

40%Missed

Result

Millwall0:1Swansea

Millwall v Swansea

Our model leaned Millwall to win at 40%. Millwall 0-1 Swansea. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Swansea won 1-0 at The Den, with Ronald scoring in the 90th minute. Our model favored Millwall at 40 percent probability, and the pick missed. Millwall had won two of their last five matches while Swansea arrived in strong form with four wins in five. The late goal proved decisive in a match where both sides had shown a 60 percent both-teams-to-score rate across recent fixtures. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Millwall v Swansea · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Marko StamenićSwansea★ MOTM90 min8.0
  2. Filip Lissah90 min7.6
  3. Moussa Yeo84 min7.5
  4. RonaldSwansea1 goal · 6 min7.3
  5. Jenson Metcalfe64 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Millwall win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Millwall
40.1%
Draw
25.7%
Swansea
34.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.2%
Over 2.5 goals
52.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Millwall win was the highest probability; the match result was Swansea win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Swansea, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 23 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Swansea, the final recorded goal situation matched 27 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Millwall, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 23 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Millwall, the final recorded goal situation matched 12 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-1is the most common scoreline between Millwall and Swansea, landing 4 times across 16 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 7/16recorded league meetings saw both teams score (43.8%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2league matches at home unbeaten for Millwall.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 8league matches away from home unbeaten for Swansea.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Millwall scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Swansea scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Millwall vs Swansea?
    Swansea beat Millwall 1-0 in the EFL Championship at The Den.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Ronald opened the scoring in the 90th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Ronald (90').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Edward Duckworth officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Millwall vs Swansea kicked off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 UK time at The Den.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    15 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Millwall play Birmingham on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time. Swansea play Portsmouth on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.