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EFL Championship · MW5 The Den, LondonRef: Will Finnie
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Millwall 4-0 Bolton Wanderers result, stats and report

Millwall
Won · xG 2.22
4 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.99
Bolton Wanderers
Next: Millwall v Lincoln City · Sat 17 Oct · Southampton v Bolton Wanderers · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MillwallBolton WanderersEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Millwall win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Millwall
40.1%
Draw
25.7%
BOL
34.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.9%
Over 2.5 goals
50.5%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
26%
34%
40.1%Millwall
25.7%Draw
34.2%BOL

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 53.9%No 46.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 50.5%No 49.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Millwall or draw at 50.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.1%.

Double Chance

1X
50.6%
12
7.3%
X2
42.1%

Half-Time Result

Millwall
30.6%
Draw
45.0%
BOL
24.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Millwall
Draw
BOL
Millwall
23.4%
4.9%
2.2%
Draw
15.2%
17.2%
12.2%
BOL
2.5%
5.1%
17.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.1%
No
94.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.