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Belgian Pro League · MW8Ref: Bert Verbeke
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Mechelen 4-3 Sint-Truiden result, stats and report

Mechelen
Won · xG 0.78
4 – 3
FT 03:55
Lost · xG 1.82
Sint-Truiden
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Mechelen v Club Brugge · Sat 21 Nov · Sint-Truiden v Zulte-Waregem · Sun 8 Nov
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Who won Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?

Mechelen 4-3 Sint-Truiden, full time in the Belgian Pro League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Sint-Truiden to win, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Mechelen winning 0, Sint-Truiden winning 2 and 0 drawn.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

MEC won it 4–3

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 03:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Mechelen 4–3 Sint-Truiden

Mechelen have not won a single Belgian Pro League match across their last ten, and Sint-Truiden arrive on Sunday having beaten them 3-0 in the most recent meeting between these sides. Something has to give.

Key Takeaways
Result

Mechelen beat Sint-Truiden 4-3 at home.

Goals

7 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

Mechelen won against the run of the chances: Mechelen 0.78 to Sint-Truiden 1.82 on expected goals, which favoured Sint-Truiden.

First Goal
S
34'⚽
Simion Michez
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Mechelen 0.78 xGSint-Truiden 1.82 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Sint-Truiden to win

48%Missed

Result

Mechelen4:3Sint-Truiden

MEC v SIT

Our model leaned Sint-Truiden to win at 48%. Mechelen 4-3 Sint-Truiden. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Mechelen defeated Sint-Truiden 4-3 in a Belgian Pro League match that saw three goals scored within the opening 39 minutes. Our model favored Sint-Truiden at 48 percent probability, a pick that missed. Mechelen benefited from own goals by Kota Takai in the 24th minute and Shogo Taniguchi in the 39th, while Simion Michez added a goal in the 34th. The result ended Sint-Truiden's recent run of both teams scoring in four consecutive matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Mechelen v Sint-Truiden · Belgian Pro League ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Samed BazdarSIT★ MOTM1 goal · 67 min7.2
  2. Kobe CorbanieMEC1 assist · 90 min6.9
  3. Mike EerdhuijzenMEC81 min6.9
  4. Shogo TaniguchiSIT90 min6.8
  5. Nathanaël MbukuSIT44 min6.7

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Sint-Truiden win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MEC
26.5%
Draw
25.1%
SIT
48.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.1%
Over 2.5 goals
55.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Sint-Truiden win was the highest probability; the match result was Mechelen win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Sint-Truiden, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 38 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Sint-Truiden, the final recorded goal situation matched 16 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Mechelen, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 38 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Mechelen, the final recorded goal situation matched 18 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-0is the most common scoreline between Mechelen and Sint-Truiden, landing 5 times across 24 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 11/24recorded league meetings saw both teams score (45.8%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 6league matches away from home unbeaten for Sint-Truiden.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Mechelen scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Sint-Truiden scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Mechelen have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?
    MEC beat SIT 4-3 in the Belgian Pro League.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Kota Takai opened the scoring in the 24th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Kota Takai (24', og), Simion Michez (34'), Shogo Taniguchi (39', og), Samed Bazdar (44'), Ilias Sebaoui (49'), Damir Milanovic (62'), Frédéric Soèllé Soèllé (71').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Bert Verbeke officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    MEC vs SIT kicked off on Sunday, 11 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Sint-Truiden to win, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    MEC play Mechelen on Saturday, 21 November 2026 UK time. SIT play Sint-Truiden on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.