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Belgian Pro League · MW6Ref: Erik Lambrechts
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Mechelen 0-1 Anderlecht result, stats and report

Mechelen
Lost · xG 1.25
0 – 1
FT 15:25
Won · xG 1.34
Anderlecht
Next: KV Kortrijk v Mechelen · Fri 23 Oct · Jagiellonia Białystok v Anderlecht · Thu 22 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MechelenAnderlechtBelgian Pro League

The provider forecast gives Anderlecht win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MEC
31.8%
Draw
26.8%
ADL
41.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.3%
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Anderlecht win was the highest probability; the match result was Anderlecht win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

32%
27%
41%
31.8%MEC
26.8%Draw
41.4%ADL

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.3%No 45.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 50.0%No 50.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ADL or draw at 50.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.4%.

Double Chance

1X
42.0%
12
7.7%
X2
50.3%

Half-Time Result

MEC
27.7%
Draw
43.0%
ADL
29.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MEC
Draw
ADL
MEC
19.2%
5.9%
3.0%
Draw
12.5%
17.3%
13.5%
ADL
2.4%
5.6%
20.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.4%
No
96.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.