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Ligue 1 · Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 19:45 KO Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille

Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
20 Sept
Marseille 33%Draw 23%Paris Saint Germain 44%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

MarseilleParis Saint GermainLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Paris Saint Germain win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.1%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Marseille
32.8%
Draw
23.1%
Paris Saint Germain
44.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.8%
Over 2.5 goals
59.6%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

33%
23%
44%
32.8%Marseille
23.1%Draw
44.1%Paris Saint Germain

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 60.8%No 39.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

60%
Yes 59.6%No 40.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
37%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
7.5%
1-0
6.7%
0-2
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Paris Saint Germain or draw at 47.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.6%.

Double Chance

1X
47.5%
12
5.0%
X2
47.5%

Half-Time Result

Marseille
27.1%
Draw
40.0%
Paris Saint Germain
32.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Marseille
Draw
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
19.2%
4.3%
4.2%
Draw
12.3%
14.6%
12.1%
Paris Saint Germain
2.9%
4.3%
26.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.6%
No
94.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.