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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Paris Saint-Germain took all three points at the Vélodrome with a 2-1 victory, but they needed ten-man Marseille to gift them the game. Ferran Torres and Marquinhos did the damage, but this was far from convincing from the visitors.
Paris Saint-Germain took all three points at the Vélodrome with a 2-1 victory, but they needed ten-man Marseille to gift them the game. Ferran Torres and Marquinhos did the damage, but this was far from convincing from the visitors.
Ligue 1Sun 20 Sept, 19:45
Key Takeaways
Result
Paris Saint Germain won 2-1 away at Marseille.
Goals
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
The chances backed the result: Marseille 1.67 to Paris Saint Germain 4.39 on expected goals.
First Goal
F
66'⚽
Ferran Torres
DAssist: Désiré Doué
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille 1.67 xGParis Saint Germain 4.39 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Paris Saint Germain to win
47%Matched
Result
1:2
Marseille v Paris Saint Germain
Our model called Paris Saint Germain to win at 47%. Marseille 1-2 Paris Saint Germain. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Paris Saint Germain won 2-1 at Marseille in Ligue 1, landing our model's pick of a PSG victory at 47 percent probability. Ferran Torres opened the scoring in the 66th minute; Marseille equalized through Angel Gomes six minutes later, but Marquinhos restored PSG's lead in the 74th. Both sides found the net, extending Marseille's run of both-teams-to-score results to five consecutive matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Paris Saint Germain win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Marseille
29.3%
Draw
23.4%
Paris Saint Germain
47.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.0%
Over 2.5 goals
59.9%
Full-time forecast audit: Paris Saint Germain win was the highest probability; the match result was Paris Saint Germain win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
0-2is the most common scoreline between Marseille and Paris Saint Germain, landing 3 times across 26 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
10/26recorded league meetings saw both teams score (38.5%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
43league matches at home unbeaten for Marseille.Immutable kick-off snapshot
47league matches away from home unbeaten for Paris Saint Germain.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Marseille scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
Paris Saint Germain scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
Marseille have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Paris Saint Germain have averaged 1.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Amine Gouiri has the highest listed average xGOT for Marseille at 0.67 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Ferran Torres has the highest listed average xGOT for Paris Saint Germain at 0.69 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?