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Liga Portugal · MW5Ref: Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Marítimo 0-3 Benfica result, stats and report

Marítimo
Lost · xG 0.17
0 – 3
FT
Won · xG 1.37
Benfica
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Vitória Guimarães v Marítimo · Fri 23 Oct · Benfica v Celtic · Thu 15 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MarítimoBenficaLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Benfica win the highest 1X2 probability at 59.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CSM
16.1%
Draw
24.3%
SLB
59.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.9%
Over 2.5 goals
50.3%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

16%
24%
60%
16.1%CSM
24.3%Draw
59.6%SLB

Both Teams to Score

47%
Yes 46.9%No 53.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 50.3%No 49.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
12.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SLB or draw at 64.0%; the most likely half-time state is SLB leading at half-time at 44.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 1.2%.

Double Chance

1X
28.0%
12
8.0%
X2
64.0%

Half-Time Result

CSM
15.0%
Draw
40.4%
SLB
44.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CSM
Draw
SLB
CSM
8.1%
4.3%
3.2%
Draw
6.5%
16.0%
16.9%
SLB
1.1%
4.6%
39.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
1.2%
No
98.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.