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Carabao Cup Old Trafford, ManchesterRef: Farai Hallam
Full time

Manchester United 2-3 Brighton result, stats and report

Manchester United
Lost · xG 0.86
2 – 3
FT
Won · xG 1.89
Brighton
Next: Fulham v Manchester United · Sun 20 Sept
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Manchester UnitedBrightonCarabao Cup

The provider forecast gives Manchester United win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Manchester United
42.5%
Draw
22.7%
Brighton
34.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.8%
Over 2.5 goals
64.7%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
23%
35%
42.5%Manchester United
22.7%Draw
34.8%Brighton

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 61.8%No 38.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

65%
Yes 64.7%No 35.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
42%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
0-1
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Manchester United or draw at 51.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 34.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.1%.

Double Chance

1X
51.2%
12
4.2%
X2
44.5%

Half-Time Result

Manchester United
34.2%
Draw
34.5%
Brighton
31.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Manchester United
Draw
Brighton
Manchester United
24.9%
4.8%
2.5%
Draw
13.7%
12.0%
10.3%
Brighton
2.8%
5.6%
23.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.1%
No
89.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.