CLIP0:19PAPE GUEYE 🇸🇳 #MálagaVillarreal
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La Liga · MW6Ref: Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias
Full time
Málaga 1-3 Villarreal result, stats and report
Next: Getafe v Málaga · Sun 20 Sept · Villarreal v Levante · Sun 20 Sept
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Málaga win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.1%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
- MLA
- 43.1%
- Draw
- 27.3%
- Villarreal
- 29.6%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 54.7%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.1%
Forecast result checked ·
Evidence and authority
- Provider forecast
- Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
- SportSignals transformation
- We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
- Market consensus
- Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
- Tip and Plus value
- A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
| Market | Result |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | won |
| Half-time / full-time | lost |
| Half-time result | won |
| Over 1.5 goals | won |
| Over 2.5 goals | won |
| Over 3.5 goals | lost |
| Full-time result | lost |
| Double chance | lost |
| Correct score | lost |
| Both teams to score in both halves | won |
Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.
Match Probabilities
Full-Time Result
43%
27%
30%
43.1%MLA
27.3%Draw
29.6%Villarreal
Both Teams to Score
Yes 54.7%No 45.3%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Yes 50.1%No 49.9%
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Most Likely Correct Scores
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
More markets
On the double chance our model rates MLA or draw at 51.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.3%.
Double Chance
1X
51.8%
12
7.8%
X2
40.4%
Half-Time Result
MLA
35.4%
Draw
41.4%
Villarreal
23.2%
Half-Time / Full-Time
HT \ FT
MLA
Draw
Villarreal
MLA
24.0%
5.6%
2.3%
Draw
16.3%
17.1%
10.3%
Villarreal
2.9%
6.2%
15.5%
BTTS in Both Halves
Yes
6.3%
No
93.7%
Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
