La Liga · MW6Thu, 17 Sept 2026Ref: Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias

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This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Málaga 1-3 Villarreal result, stats and report

Málaga

Lost · xG 0.66

1 – 3

FT 13:16

Villarreal

Won · xG 3.48

Match review

Next: Málaga v Racing Santander · Sat 7 Nov · Villarreal v Paris Saint Germain · Tue 3 Nov

How the model called it

2 of 3 right

MLA43.1%Wrong

Draw27.3%

Villarreal29.6%Landed

Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 rated 50.1%, so the model leaned overRight

Both teams to scoreBTTS rated 54.7%, so the model leaned yesRight

Published Tip · settled

Immutable ledger

Under 2.5 goalsPublished 14 Sept, 03:55 · before kick-offLost

Logged at 2.42 with Betfair Exchange

Betfair Exchange offered 2.42 when we checked at 01:05 on 17 Sept.

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The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.

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Table impact

Full table →

MLA20th18th → 20th
Villarreal9th19th → 9th

After 11 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.

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Pick outcome

Under 2.5 goalsLost

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Plus review

Value rowsIn the review

Closing line valueSettled per row

Props edgesIn the review

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Málaga 1-3 Villarreal result, stats and report

How the model called it

Published Tip · settled

Table impact

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Plus review