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UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRef: Jérémie Pignard
Full time

This match had in-play prices; no live commentary, stats or momentum.

Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 Lugano result, stats and report

Maccabi Tel Aviv
Drew · xG 2.47
1 – 1
FT
Drew · xG 0.69
Lugano
Next: Lugano v Crvena Zvezda · Thu 15 Oct
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Maccabi Tel AvivLuganoUEFA Europa Conference League

The provider forecast gives Lugano win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Maccabi Tel Avi
31.2%
Draw
23.3%
LUG
45.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.3%
Over 2.5 goals
60.5%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

31%
23%
46%
31.2%Maccabi Tel Avi
23.3%Draw
45.5%LUG

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 58.3%No 41.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 60.5%No 39.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LUG or draw at 54.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.5%.

Double Chance

1X
40.9%
12
5.1%
X2
54.1%

Half-Time Result

Maccabi Tel Avi
26.3%
Draw
37.7%
LUG
36.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Maccabi Tel Avi
Draw
LUG
Maccabi Tel Avi
17.9%
4.3%
3.3%
Draw
10.7%
12.5%
13.1%
LUG
2.2%
4.9%
31.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.5%
No
94.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.