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UEFA Europa League · MW2 Groupama Stadium, Décines-CharpieuRef: João Pedro Silva Pinheiro
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Lyon 3-2 Crystal Palace result, stats and report

Lyon
Won · xG 2.69
3 – 2
FT 03:35
Lost · xG 2.35
Crystal Palace
Next: Real Sociedad v Lyon · Thu 5 Nov · Crystal Palace v 1899 Hoffenheim · Thu 5 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LyonCrystal PalaceUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Lyon win the highest 1X2 probability at 52.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Lyon
52.9%
Draw
21.8%
Crystal Palace
25.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.8%
Over 2.5 goals
65.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Lyon win was the highest probability; the match result was Lyon win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

53%
22%
25%
52.9%Lyon
21.8%Draw
25.4%Crystal Palace

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 61.8%No 38.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

65%
Yes 65.1%No 34.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
43%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Lyon or draw at 63.0%; the most likely half-time state is Lyon leading at half-time at 42.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 15.0%.

Double Chance

1X
63.0%
12
3.8%
X2
33.1%

Half-Time Result

Lyon
42.0%
Draw
37.0%
Crystal Palace
21.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lyon
Draw
Crystal Palace
Lyon
35.7%
4.4%
1.9%
Draw
17.7%
11.8%
7.1%
Crystal Palace
3.4%
4.9%
13.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
15.0%
No
85.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.