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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Lyon held on for a 3-2 victory over Crystal Palace in the UEFA Europa League, with Pavel Sulc's 76th-minute goal proving the difference after Daichi Kamada had pulled one back for the visitors.
Lyon held on for a 3-2 victory over Crystal Palace in the UEFA Europa League, with Pavel Sulc's 76th-minute goal proving the difference after Daichi Kamada had pulled one back for the visitors.
UEFA Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct, 17:45
Key Takeaways
Result
Lyon beat Crystal Palace 3-2 at home.
Goals
5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
C
8'⚽
Corentin Tolisso
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Lyon 2.69 xGCrystal Palace 2.35 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Lyon to win
53%Matched
Result
3:2
Lyon v Crystal Palace
Our model called Lyon to win at 53%. Lyon 3-2 Crystal Palace. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Lyon beat Crystal Palace 3-2 at Groupama Stadium in the Europa League. Our model backed a Lyon win at 53% probability, and the pick landed. Tolisso opened the scoring in the eighth minute, then Nuamah doubled the lead before half-time; Pino pulled one back early in the second half, but Lyon held on despite conceding a second goal late. Both sides found the net, continuing a pattern where Lyon have scored in all five recent matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Lyon win the highest 1X2 probability at 52.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Lyon
52.9%
Draw
21.8%
Crystal Palace
25.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.8%
Over 2.5 goals
65.1%
Full-time forecast audit: Lyon win was the highest probability; the match result was Lyon win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
9 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Crystal Palace, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 1 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Lyon, the final recorded goal situation matched 11 comparable matches from 50 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Crystal Palace, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 0 comparable matches from 1 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Lyon, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 11 comparable matches from 50 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
21league matches at home unbeaten for Lyon.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Lyon scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Lyon have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Ruben Kluivert has the highest listed average xGOT for Lyon at 0.72 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Jørgen Strand Larsen has the highest listed average xGOT for Crystal Palace at 0.82 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Lyon vs Crystal Palace?