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Swiss Super League · MW8Ref: Nico Gianforte
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lugano 2-2 Young Boys result, stats and report

Lugano
Drew · xG 1.74
2 – 2
FT 13:45
Drew · xG 2.53
Young Boys
Next: Thun v Lugano · Sun 25 Oct · Young Boys v St. Gallen · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LuganoYoung BoysSwiss Super League

The provider forecast gives Lugano win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LUG
45.7%
Draw
23.8%
YBO
30.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
62.1%
Over 2.5 goals
63.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Lugano win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
24%
31%
45.7%LUG
23.8%Draw
30.5%YBO

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 62.1%No 37.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 63.1%No 36.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
40%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LUG or draw at 53.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.5%.

Double Chance

1X
53.3%
12
4.3%
X2
42.4%

Half-Time Result

LUG
34.2%
Draw
39.3%
YBO
26.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LUG
Draw
YBO
LUG
24.3%
5.9%
3.1%
Draw
15.3%
13.9%
10.1%
YBO
3.2%
5.1%
19.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.5%
No
89.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.