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Swiss Super League · MW11

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Thun vs Lugano prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
25 Oct
THU 24%Draw 23%LUG 53%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Thun or Lugano?

Thun vs Lugano kicks off UK time in the Swiss Super League. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Thun winning 0, Lugano winning 2 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

LUG has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
THU24.0%
Draw23.2%
LUG52.8%
BTTS yes56.4%

Updated

Over 2.557.4%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
9.7
xG for
8▼ -1.7
Goals
10.5
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
9.5
xG for
18▲ +8.5
Goals
7.2
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
ThunNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Thun recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L21.11
2W21.65
3L22.18
4L02.06
5L21.60
6D01.12
LuganoNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Lugano recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W42.14
2W42.46
3W41.34
4D21.74
5W31.10
6W10.69
Thun have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 4 points against 7.9 expected. Lugano have taken more points than their chances were worth: 16 points against 9.7 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Thun generated 9.7 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 8, 1.7 below that chance total. Lugano generated 9.5 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 18, 8.5 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

THU: 6 matches · LUG: 6
Recent team comparison. Thun sample 6; Lugano sample 6.
MeasureThunLugano
Goals / game1.333
Conceded / game2.170.67
xG / game1.621.58
xG conceded / game1.751.2
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Thun v Lugano

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~12:00
THU11 starters
24Steffen
19Bamert
27Heule
23Bürkidoubt
47Fehr
70Reichmuth
16Roth
6Bertone
78Matoshi
96Labeau
9Dursun
LUG11 starters
16Ballmoos
6Papadopoulos
17Mai
3Delcroix
27Santos
21Cimignani
8Grgic
25Bislimidoubt
9Koutsias
11Steffen
97Parsemain
Out / doubtful
🩹 Genís Montolio injury · ❓ Marco Bürki suspended · 🩹 Marc Gutbub injury · 🩹 Claudio Cassano injury · 🩹 Kevin Behrens injury · ❓ Uran Bislimi suspended · ❓ Elias Pihlström suspended · 🩹 Renato Steffen injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Thun v Lugano · Swiss Super League ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Thun vs Lugano?
    Thun vs Lugano takes place on Sunday 25 October at 13:00 (UK time) in the Swiss Super League.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Thun and Lugano?
    In their last 2 meetings, Thun won 0, Lugano won 2, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Thun vs Lugano?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Swiss Super League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Thun vs Lugano free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Thun vs Lugano are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 25 Oct, 13:00 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.