Kicks off in 4d 15hSunday, 17 May 2026

LuganoSSR 1565

14:30Sunday, 17 May 2026

BaselSSR 1517

Home—Draw—Away—

ModelLugano win · 44.0%vsValueBasel win · @ 3.30 · unibet_uk · +3.7% edge View full prediction breakdown

What does this mean?

The model pick is the outcome the model rates most likely based on form, xG, injuries and head to head. The value pick is where the bookmakers' odds look too generous against that probability, so a bet there should return more over the long run.

When the two agree it's a strong signal. When they disagree, the model expects one team to win more often than the odds suggest, so backing the underdog at a long price can still be the better bet even if you don't expect them to win this single match.

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More Swiss Super League fixtures

Lugano vs Basel: match centre

About this match

Lugano face Basel on Sunday, 17 May 2026. This match is part of the Swiss Super League. You can check the recent head-to-head encounters, as well as the full H2H record on this page to see how Lugano and Basel have fared against each other in the past. On SportSignals, you can follow the Lugano vs Basel match with AI-powered predictions, full odds comparison, team lineups, and live updates.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+. begambleaware.org

Top player picks

Best probabilities from each family. Predictive model only — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Top anytime scorer

Bénie Traoré

Probability of scoring at least once

Above-the-line shots-on-target probability

Above-the-line shots-attempts probability

90%

Model

Half-time picksMore →

HT Goals under 2.51.16
HT Goals under 2.251.19
HT Goals under 21.24

CornersMore →

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CardsMore →

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HT Result

Lugano leading at HT

2.40

42% implied

best price
UNI

HT Goals

Under 1 goals (1st half)

2.60

38% implied

best price
UNI

HT BTTS

Awaiting prices

AI Prediction

Lugano to win44.0%

LUG

44.0%

Draw

22.0%

BAS

34.0%

Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org

Form Guide (Last 5)

LUG

BAS

LWWWW

LWLLD

4-0-1Record (W-D-L)1-1-3

5Goals Scored7

80%Clean Sheet %0%

20%BTTS %60%

Injuries and suspensions

MarquesOut

CorreiaOut

CassanoOut

Out Doubtful Suspended

Frequently Asked Questions

When is Lugano vs Basel?▼

Lugano vs Basel kicks off at 14:30 on Sunday, 17 May 2026 in the Swiss Super League.

What are the best odds for Lugano vs Basel?▼

The best available odds are Lugano to win at 19/20, the draw at 57/20, Basel to win at 23/10. Odds are subject to change.

What is the prediction for Lugano vs Basel?▼

Our AI model predicts Lugano to win with a 44.0% probability. This is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What league is Lugano vs Basel in?▼

This match is part of the Swiss Super League in Switzerland.

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All predictions and analysis on this page are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds displayed are sourced from third-party bookmakers and are subject to change. SportSignals may receive commission from bookmaker links on this page.