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Ligue 1 · Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 19:45 KO Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient

Lorient vs Toulouse prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
12 Sept
Lorient 42%Draw 27%Toulouse 31%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

LorientToulouseLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Lorient win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.1%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Lorient
42.1%
Draw
26.8%
Toulouse
31.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.1%
Over 2.5 goals
48.6%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
27%
31%
42.1%Lorient
26.8%Draw
31.1%Toulouse

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.1%No 45.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 48.6%No 51.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Lorient or draw at 52.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.7%.

Double Chance

1X
52.2%
12
7.8%
X2
40.0%

Half-Time Result

Lorient
31.3%
Draw
45.3%
Toulouse
23.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lorient
Draw
Toulouse
Lorient
22.7%
5.6%
2.4%
Draw
15.9%
18.5%
11.1%
Toulouse
2.6%
5.3%
15.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.7%
No
94.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.