This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.
Lorient 2-2 Toulouse result, stats and report
Who won Lorient vs Toulouse?
Lorient 2-2 Toulouse, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Toulouse won it.
Editorial publication status
No Match Review published
The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Lorient 2–2 Toulouse
Two Ligue 1 sides yet to win this season meet at the Stade du Moustoir on Saturday evening, with the data pointing toward a match shaped more by defensive vulnerability than attacking intent. Sophie Hargreaves breaks down what to watch.
Lorient and Toulouse drew 2-2.
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Lorient to win
Result
2:2
Lorient v Toulouse
📊 Match recap and data context
Lorient and Toulouse drew 2-2 at Stade du Moustoir in Ligue 1. Our model backed Lorient to win at 42 percent probability, a pick that missed. Both teams found the net, continuing Toulouse's recent pattern of both sides scoring in every match over their last five outings. The draw leaves Lorient's recent form mixed after two wins and two draws in their previous five games. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Lorient v Toulouse · Ligue 1 ·
More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Lorient win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.7%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
- Lorient
- 41.7%
- Draw
- 26.4%
- Toulouse
- 31.9%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 55.2%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.3%
Full-time forecast audit: Lorient win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
SportSignals Tip settlement
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact resultLogged at 1.35 with Betfair Exchange
Betfair Exchange offered 1.35 when we checked at 01:05 on 12 Sept.
Betfair Exchange is a betting exchange. It takes a small commission from winnings.
- Immutable Tips ledger · record db4ff9aa-6725-42d9-a5c7-867cc3806410 · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
Pre-match historical evidence
- 1-1is the most common scoreline between Lorient and Toulouse, landing 4 times across 14 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- 10/14recorded league meetings saw both teams score (71.4%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
- 13league matches at home unbeaten for Lorient.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- 2league matches away from home unbeaten for Toulouse.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Lorient scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Toulouse scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Lorient have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Toulouse have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Yvon Mvogo has the highest listed average xGOT for Lorient at 1.00 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Christ Tapé has the highest listed average xGOT for Toulouse at 0.72 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
Who scored the opening goal?
Ibrahima Baldé opened the scoring in the 37th minute.Who scored in the match?
Ibrahima Baldé (37'), Noah Mbamba (39'), Casper Tengstedt (48'), Thomas Jørgensen (68').How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 1 yellow card.Who refereed the match?
Aurélien Petit officiated.How many corners were there in the match?
7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.Did the model call it right?
Yes. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it landed.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.