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Le Havre took all three points at the Stade du Moustoir with a narrow 1-0 victory, but the underlying numbers reveal a match that was far less comfortable for the visitors than the scoreline suggests, and far more troubling for Lorient than their home form…
The immutable snapshot of this match has not been published yet. Live rows are not substituted into the archive while that is pending, so the chart and the final statistics appear once it is.
The completed-match archive is not published yet. Current match rows are not substituted into it while verification is pending.
📊 Match recap and data context
Lorient fell to Le Havre 0-2 at home in Ligue 1, a result that cost our model's pre-match pick of a Lorient win, which carried 48% probability. The hosts managed no goals despite their recent form showing one win in five matches; Le Havre's visitors proved clinical on the road, where they had drawn three of their last five outings. Both sides came in with elevated both-teams-to-score rates, yet Lorient's blank ended that narrative. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
No immutable pre-kickoff prediction snapshot is recorded. Current provider rows are withheld so the completed-match archive cannot gain hindsight. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP
SportSignals Tip settlement
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
Ligue 1lost
Lorient to win
Logged at 2.74 · bookmaker not recorded
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record 9f970f2c-91b2-470e-8229-e95311373334 · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Pre-match facts retained
The immutable pre-match Match Facts snapshot is still being reconciled. Current provider rows are not substituted into the completed-match archive.
Questions about this result
▸When and where was the match played?
Lorient vs Le Havre kicked off on Sunday, 17 May 2026 UK time at Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat.
▸When do they play next?
Lorient play Stade Brestois 29 on Monday, 2 November 2026 UK time. Le Havre play Paris Saint Germain on Friday, 30 October 2026 UK time.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
🎯 How the model called it
1 of 3 right
Lorient47.9%Wrong
Draw25.9%
Le Havre26.3%Landed
Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 rated 48.7%, so the model leaned underRight
Both teams to scoreBTTS rated 50.8%, so the model leaned yesWrong
✦ Published Tip · settled
Immutable ledger
Lorient to winLost
Logged at 2.74 · bookmaker not recorded
The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.