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Carabao Cup Anfield, Liverpool

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
28 Oct
Liverpool 46%Draw 22%Chelsea 32%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Liverpool or Chelsea?

Liverpool vs Chelsea kicks off UK time in the Carabao Cup. The match is at Anfield, Liverpool. Our model's pick is Both teams to score at a 63.3% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Liverpool winning 0, Chelsea winning 1 and 1 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Liverpool has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Draw22.1%
Chelsea31.9%
BTTS yes64.3%

Updated

Over 2.566.8%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
9.8
xG for
12▲ +2.2
Goals
7.5
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
8.7
xG for
18▲ +9.3
Goals
10.1
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
LiverpoolNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Liverpool recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W62.94
2L01.24
3W11.53
4W31.25
5D01.37
6W21.46
ChelseaNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Chelsea recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W51.11
2L00.89
3D21.07
4W62.38
5L10.21
6W43.05
Liverpool have taken more points than their chances were worth: 13 points against 9.8 expected. Chelsea have taken more points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 7.2 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Liverpool generated 9.8 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 12, 2.2 above that chance total. Chelsea generated 8.7 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 18, 9.3 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Liverpool: 6 matches · Chelsea: 6
Recent team comparison. Liverpool sample 6; Chelsea sample 6.
MeasureLiverpoolChelsea
Goals / game23
Conceded / game1.332.33
xG / game1.631.45
xG conceded / game1.251.68
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Liverpool v Chelsea

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~19:00
Liverpool11 starters
1Alisson
1Pécsi
5Konaté
6Kerkez
4Dijk
26Robertson
7Wirtz
8Szoboszlai
10Allister
9Isak
18Gakpo
Chelsea11 starters
12Jørgensen
23Chalobah
3Cucurella
34Acheampong
27Gusto
24James
10Palmer
8Fernández
7Neto
20Pedro
Out / doubtful
🩹 Dominik Szoboszlai injury · ❓ Federico Chiesa suspended · 🩹 Alexander Isak injury · ❓ Wataru Endo suspended · 🩹 Hugo Ekitiké injury · ❓ Ryan Gravenberch suspended · 🩹 Cody Gakpo injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Liverpool v Chelsea · Carabao Cup ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Liverpool vs Chelsea?
    Liverpool vs Chelsea takes place on Wednesday 28 October at 20:00 (UK time) in the Carabao Cup at Anfield, Liverpool.
  • Who is the model backing in Liverpool vs Chelsea?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score (btts), with around 63% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Chelsea?
    In their last 2 meetings, Liverpool won 0, Chelsea won 1, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Liverpool vs Chelsea?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Carabao Cup coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Liverpool vs Chelsea free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Liverpool vs Chelsea are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 28 Oct, 20:00 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.